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By van der Laan M., Bryen J.

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5 References 1-1. S. Nuclear Rcgulalc_ry C()mmissicm, Re_,ived Severe Accident NUREG-1365, August 1989. 1-2. S. s, NUREG-! 150, June 1989. S. NUREG/CR-5642 2. REVIEW OF PREVIOUS RESEARCH APPLICABLE TO LOWER HEAD FAILURE ANALYSES A literature search was conducted to review previous experimental and analytical analyses that are applicable to the lower head failurc mechanisms considered in this document. Scctions 2. 4 summarizc thc major results from previous analyscs pertaining to tube hcatup and plugging, tube ejection and rupture, global rupture, and jet impingcment.

However, this review o1' experimental and analytical calculations related to melt penetration in steel tubes indicates that the bchavi¢_r c_t"molten t'ucl t'rcezing in tubes and rt_tl bundles is still not conmplctcly understood. , initially witln,ut water _r t_thcr materials present) with nt_n-mciting walls. However, signit'icantly shorter distances have bccn ¢ff_,scrvedin certain experiments with thcrmitc entering tubes. It appears that experinle'ntally ¢_bscrved distances arc bounded by the values predicted with conduction and bulk t'reczing models.

This stress results only I'rcmathe weight of the debris and the head itself. At this low stress level, vessel wall temperatures would have to be near the melting point of the vessel material for vesscl failure to occur. The vessel penetrations are expected to fail long before this. As an cxample, a short-term station blackout scenario resulted in penetration failure within 1() minutes aftcr debris bed dryout, and global failure of the head about 3-1/2 hours later. ORNL has postulated BWR dcpressurization correlation 2:_° to recently c¢_mpleted a study to evaluate several strategies ['¢_rmanagement of severe accidents, c Drywell llooding, vessel skirt venting, and vessel were considered.

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Gene expression analysis with the parametric bootstrap by van der Laan M., Bryen J.

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